The general pattern of slower motion over the upper accumulation and lower ablation areas of Split Lake Glacier, and the fastest motion occurring as the ice is funnelled through the bedrock constriction (located ∼5 to 10 km along the centreline shown in
Fig. 1b), is similar to other studies that have derived ice motion within the region (
Millan et al. 2017;
Strozzi et al. 2017;
Sánchez-Gámez and Navarro 2017). However, our results indicate that the geometry and area changes of Split Lake Glacier are anomalous when compared to nearby regions of POW Icefield. Regarding area change, the terminus of Split Lake Glacier has continued to gradually expand after the rapid 1959 to 1975 advance of the northern terminus (
Fig. 2;
Table 2). In contrast, two land terminating glaciers at similar elevations to the north have both been experiencing retreat since 1970. Indeed, observations from the regional mapping of terminus positions beyond the study area indicate that retreating glacier termini is generally the norm across the CAA (e.g.,
Cook et al. 2019;
Derksen et al. 2019), suggesting that the continuous advance of Split Lake Glacier is atypical.
With regard to geometry changes, the rates of surface lowering in the upper elevations (400–700 m a.s.l.) of Split Lake Glacier are significantly higher than the rates of surface lowering across adjacent glaciers along the western margin of POW Icefield (
Figs. 6–8). Modelling by
Noël et al. (2018) indicates that the average annual SMB of the upper elevation of Split Lake Glacier (pink/purple area in
Fig. 6) was −0.64 ± 0.16 m w.e. yr
−1 between 1996 and 2015, compared to our measurements of mean surface lowering of 2–4 m yr
−1 in this region over the period 2000–2014 (
Fig. 6). In the terminus region below the bedrock constriction, the SMB results of
Noël et al. (2018) indicate that there should be significant thinning (average −2.30 ± 0.16 m w.e. year
−1), whereas the elevation changes show a mean surface thickening of 0.25–1 m year
−1 (
Figs 6–
8). The dynamic balance line (mean elevation of long-term zero elevation change) on Split Lake Glacier occurred at approximately 280–300 m a.s.l. in 2012–2017 (
Figs 6d,
8), well below the long-term ELA of 980 m a.s.l. from measured and modelled SMB (
Mair et al. 2009;
Noël et al. 2018). This discrepancy between modelled SMB and observed surface elevation changes, and the offset between the dynamic balance line and equilibrium line, implies that glacier dynamics must be responsible for the anomalous geometry changes of Split Lake Glacier.
5.1. Evidence in support of a slowly surging glacier
Surge-type glaciers are characterized by ice motion that typically oscillates between short periods (months to years) of fast flow which can be several orders of magnitude greater than the balance velocity, followed by prolonged periods of slow flow (years to decades) that is at least an order of magnitude below the expected balance velocity if the glacier was experiencing normal flow (
Jiskoot 2011). Surge-type glaciers were first identified in the northern CAA in the 1960s (
Hattersley-Smith 1964,
1969;
Müller 1969), but it was not until decades later that the first major catalogue of surge-type glaciers in this region was completed by
Copland et al. (2003). In this catalogue, a total of 51 glaciers were classified as a surge type, with 15 observed in the active phase in 1959/60 and (or) 1999/2000. Similarly,
Sevestre and Benn (2015) identified a total of 46 glaciers as a surge type in the CAA based on a comprehensive literature review, compared to 322 in Alaska/Yukon and 345 in Svalbard.
Copland et al. (2003) classified two glaciers as surge types along the western margin of POW Icefield, but not Split Lake Glacier.
Sevestre and Benn (2015) also did not classify Split Lake Glacier as surge type. Taggart Lake Glacier (unofficial name), located 80 km north of Split Lake Glacier (
Fig. 1c), was identified by
Copland et al. (2003) as actively surging into a proglacial lake in 1999 Landsat imagery, with shear margins, looped surface moraines, and extensive surface crevassing over the lower part of the glacier and a 3 km advance of the terminus between 1959 and 1999. Another glacier near Kooetigeto River, located 35 km north of Taggart Lake, was classified as a surge type based on large moraine loops, although it was not actively surging in 1959 or 1999.
Copland et al. (2003) identified a further three glaciers on eastern POW Icefield as confirmed surge type, and one as possibly surge type, but none of these were near Split Lake Glacier. However, a recent automated analysis of SAR backscatter signatures in 2018–2019 Sentinel-1 imagery identified Taggart Lake Glacier as actively surging (
Leclercq et al. 2021), one of only two such glaciers with this classification in the CAA over that period.
The changes in surface elevation and terminus extents reported here are consistent with what would be expected during the active phase of a glacier surge (
Meier and Post 1969;
Jiskoot 2011): thinning of the upper reservoir area, thickening of the lower receiving area, and sometimes terminus advance. Although we do not have comprehensive velocity maps available prior to the year 2000, our manual tracking of ogive banding over the lower terminus suggests that glacier motion was significantly higher in 1991–1993 than during 1999–2002, before increasing again towards the present day (
Fig. 5). Long-term changes in the presence and distribution of ogives across the lower terminus of Split Lake Glacier suggest that rapid flow started there in about 1970.
For the period when comprehensive velocity maps are available, the Radarsat-derived maximum flow speeds in 2000 were 340 ± 15 m year
−1 compared to maximum speeds of 625 ± 15 m year
−1 in 2015 (
Fig. 4a). The input imagery used to create the Radarsat velocity record was all acquired during the winter (November to May of each year,
Table 1) and as such, unlikely to be influenced by increases in ice motion induced by meltwater transmission to the bed, meaning that seasonal flow variations cannot explain the observed changes. Additionally, when comparing velocities across POW Icefield (
Van Wychen et al. 2014,
2016,
2021), it is clear that Split Lake Glacier is moving ∼200 m year
−1 faster than nearby glaciers, suggesting that its motion is enhanced by internal dynamics and out of balance with current SMB.
If Split Lake Glacier is indeed undergoing a surge, the results presented here are most aligned with the interpretation that it is undergoing a slow surge (
Jiskoot 2011). In the case of slowly surging glaciers, the surge phase is expected to last 20 years or more with flow rates 5–10 times higher than those observed during the quiescent phase, while the glacier front experiences relatively little to no positional change (
Jiskoot 2011). As a comparison,
Frappé and Clarke (2007) detailed the slow surge of Trapridge Glacier (Yukon) and found that the active phase occurred from around 1980 to around 2000, although the velocities only increased from pre-surge rates of 16 m year
−1 to a maximum of 42 m year
−1 in 1984 (see fig. 11 in
Frappé and Clarke 2007). Despite these slight variations in velocities, the prolonged period that they occurred over (20 years) led to the advance of the terminus of Trapridge Glacier. The cause of the apparent slowdown of Split Lake Glacier over the period 1999–2002 is unknown, but the velocities during this period were still elevated, the ogive patterns are continuous, and the terminus continued to advance (
Fig. 2), suggesting that the slow surge has occurred continuously since the 1970s. Slow surges have also been identified in Svalbard (
Sund et al. 2009), but have not been previously described for the CAA. However, the area, geometry, and velocity changes we describe here are consistent with those reported for slowly surging glaciers in other geographic regions, so we believe it likely that Split Lake Glacier falls within this classification.
5.2. Comparisons with surges on other glaciers
The evidence presented above suggests that Split Lake Glacier started surging around 1970 and that the surge is continuing at the present day. This is a long active phase compared to surge-type glaciers found in mid-latitude regions (
Jiskoot 2011), but is not entirely without precedence for the CAA. For example,
Van Wychen et al. (2016,
2021) found that the Middle Glacier of Axel Heiberg Island has had elevated flow velocities lasting over a decade, while velocity maps for Mittie Glacier of southern Ellesmere Island suggest a surge duration of 12 years (
Copland et al. 2003;
Van Wychen et al. 2016;
2021;
Millan et al. 2017). Similarly, Otto Glacier located on Northern Ellesmere Island was found to be surging from ∼2000 to ∼2014, although its flow speed increased and decreased over the ∼14-year long active phase, and the areas of elevated velocities propagated spatially over this time (
Van Wychen et al. 2016;
2021). This is in contrast to Split Lake Glacier, where increased flow speeds have remained relatively high throughout the entire active phase and are spatially confined.
Perhaps the closest analogue is that of Good Friday Glacier on Axel Heiberg Island, which has experienced sustained terminus advance and high flow speeds since the 1950s, although it is arguable whether this meets the traditional definition of a surge (
Medrzycka et al. 2019). For both Good Friday and Split Lake glaciers, the observed terminus advance and elevated surface velocities have been at odds with the behaviour of nearby glaciers and occurred within the wider context of sustained regional mass loss.
Medrzycka et al. (2019) suggested that the behaviour of the Good Friday Glacier might be driven by a delayed response to a positive mass balance condition of the Little Ice Age. However, this is unlikely to explain the behaviour of Split Lake Glacier given that adjacent glacier basins of a similar size, elevation range, and aspect on western POW Icefield are not behaving in the same way.
Van Wychen et al. (2016,
2017), as well as
Medrzycka et al. (2019), have postulated that perturbations in basal topography can cause variable dynamic behaviours for glaciers within the CAA. It is suggested that these perturbations cause localized pinning points that are responsible for driving dynamic fluctuations. However, we do not have observations of the basal topography of Split Lake Glacier to investigate whether this might provide a likely explanation here. It is possible, however, that the narrow bedrock constriction through which ice is channelled from the icefield to the glacier terminus acts as a lateral pinning point that modulates ice motion in the same way that basal pinning points have been suggested by earlier studies (
Van Wychen et al. 2016,
2017;
Medrzycka et al. 2019), although more intensive field measurements of basal and lateral topography are necessary to determine if this is truly the case.
In other regions, nearby glaciers have been shown to experience contrasting behaviours. A good example of this is found in Alaska, where Taku Glacier (tidewater terminating) and Lemon Creek Glacier (land terminating) are separated by about 30 km but experienced differing behaviours over the period 1946–2018 (
McNeil et al. 2020). For much of this period, Taku Glacier experienced a positive mass balance and terminus advance, while Lemon Glacier experienced mass loss and terminus retreat. It was only after 2013 that Taku Glacier began to experience thinning and terminus retreat. In this case, it was found that the divergence in response was related to distinct differences in local climate and glacier hypsometry. It is possible that the changes observed on Split Lake Glacier are also a manifestation of localized climate and hypsometry conditions that allow for its terminus to respond differently to other regions along the western margin of POW Icefield. This explanation might explain why the small glacier to the south of Split Lake Glacier underwent little significant change over the observation period (Box 2 in
Fig. 2). However, if there was a localized positive mass balance situation Split Lake Glacier would be expected to undergo widespread thinning in the 400–700 m elevation bin (
Fig. 8), rather than the observed widespread thickening. Furthermore, a long-term record of mass balance for POW Icefield, which included the collection of shallow ice cores near Split Lake Glacier, does not indicate any evidence of anomalous positive SMB in this portion of the icefield (
Mair et al. 2009).