Introduction
The southern residents are a seasonally migrating population of killer whales (
Orcinus orca) that specialize in consuming salmon. They have declined in numbers since 2011, and are listed as endangered in Canada and the United States (
COSEWIC 2001;
NMFS 2005). Dietary analyses of stomach contents of beached carcasses, along with visual observations of prey captured, and DNA analysis of fecal samples and prey fragments, show that resident killer whales primarily consume Chinook salmon (
Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) (
Ford et al. 1998;
Ford and Ellis 2006;
Hanson et al. 2010,
2021), which have also declined through much of the Northwest Pacific (
Yoshiyama et al. 1998;
Kareiva et al. 2000;
Riddell et al. 2018). Reduced numbers of Chinook are therefore thought to explain the poor body condition (
Fearnbach et al. 2018) and reduced fecundity of southern resident killer whales (
Ward et al. 2009,
2013) — and may explain why the southern resident population has declined. However, little is known about the abundance and accessibility of prey available to southern resident killer whales.
Previous studies that have linked declines of Chinook salmon to declines of southern resident killer whales have presumed that total annual returns of Chinook salmon averaged over wide stretches of coastal ocean are a proxy for prey availability (
Ward et al. 2009;
Ford et al. 2010a,
2010b). These broad-brushed studies have uncovered significant correlations that imply possible causal relationships. However, they have not been able to draw conclusions at a finer spatial scale about possible regional and seasonal differences in prey availability. Nor have the broad statistical correlations provided any insights into spatial and temporal scales of predator-prey overlap needed to manage fisheries and interactions with killer whales.
Studying animal behavior below the ocean surface presents challenges. Southern resident killer whales forage on relatively large Chinook salmon (
Ford and Ellis 2006;
Ford et al. 2010b) that swim fast — thus making it difficult if not impossible to use gill and trawl nets to quantitatively assess whether the availability of Chinook is sufficient to support killer whales. Such direct sampling of killer whale prey would also require integrating large horizontal and vertical scales, and would yield low-resolution data. Use of active acoustic sensors can overcome these sampling challenges and provide high-resolution data with wide spatial coverage over the entire water column (
Kaartvedt et al. 2009;
Benoit-Bird et al. 2013;
Sato et al. 2016). Active acoustic techniques have been used to monitor adult salmonid escapement in rivers (
Ransom et al. 1998), but have not been widely used to study salmonids in the ocean.
In this study, we used ship-based active acoustics to assess the spatial variability of prey dynamics in the coastal waters of British Columbia and Washington, where the seasonally migrating resident killer whales traditionally spend their summer months foraging. We compared two areas known to be important foraging habitats for resident killer whales — Johnstone Strait (a critical habitat of northern resident killer whales along the northeast coast of Vancouver Island) and Juan de Fuca Strait (a critical habitat of southern residents in the Salish Sea). These two sites (
Fig. 1) are essential migratory corridors for Pacific salmon returning to the Salish Sea. Some of the largest salmon runs in North America move through the straits on their way to their spawning rivers in southwestern British Columbia and northwestern Washington (
Quinn and Fresh 1984;
Candy and Quinn 1999). Consequently, resident killer whales use these regions as primary foraging grounds during summer and fall months, selectively feeding on large Chinook salmon (
Ford and Ellis 2006).
Northern and southern resident killer whales have a strong mutual reliance on Chinook salmon, but do not appear to have been equally affected by range-wide declines of Chinook salmon. The population of northern resident killer whales (which ranges from Southeast Alaska to southern British Columbia) has increased to ∼300 individuals (
Ward et al. 2009;
Towers 2015), while southern resident killer whales (which range from southern British Columbia to California) numbered 75 individuals as of February 2021 (
Orca Network 2021).
The goal of our study was to assess whether southern resident killer whales are experiencing a shortage of prey in the Salish Sea during summer. Unfortunately, there are no historic data to determine what changes may have occurred over time to the distribution and accessibility of prey available to resident killer whales. We therefore used the habitat of northern resident killer whales as a control site to test the hypothesis that prey availability, characterized by its frequency of occurrence, density, and size, was lower in southern resident killer whale habitat than in northern resident killer whale habitat. We sampled these sites using a combination of multifrequency acoustics verified by fish sampling during summer over two years to encompass potential interannual variability.
Discussion
We assessed the spatial variability of large fish as potential prey for northern and southern resident killer whales in the Northeast Pacific. Contrary to our hypothesis, prey densities were higher in the southern resident killer whale habitat than in the northern resident killer whale habitat. However, the frequencies of occurrence of prey and sizes of fish present based on target strength analysis did not differ significantly between the two habitats. Within each habitat, large fish occurred more frequently along the northern sides of the passages (i.e., along Vancouver Island in Juan de Fuca Strait, and along the mainland side of Johnstone Strait).
The 4–6 times higher density of prey available to southern resident killer whales, when compared to northern resident killer whale habitat, suggests that they were not limited by prey during summer. This difference in prey density between the two habitats may reflect higher numbers of Chinook salmon using Juan de Fuca Strait instead of Johnstone Strait as a corridor to return to their natal rivers in the Salish Sea. In addition to the returning populations of Chinook salmon, some Chinook spend all or most of their marine life in the inland marine waters of British Columbia and Washington instead of feeding offshore (
Pressey 1953;
O’Neill and West 2009), which may also contribute to the higher density of prey present in Juan de Fuca Strait. The proportion of the lives of Chinook salmon spent in the inland waters is unknown.
The inter-annual variability we observed in the frequencies of occurrence and size composition of prey between study sites may have been due to difference in the timing of our surveys relative to the peak abundance of Chinook salmon at each study site. Since migration timing of anadromous salmonids is influenced by both genetics and environmental conditions (see reviews by
Banks 1969;
Dodson 1997;
Quinn 2005), and our study locations are major migration corridors for multiple populations of Chinook salmon (
Fraser et al. 1982), it was challenging to schedule our field surveys to match peak migration timings. Complicating matters further was the substantial variation in life histories among populations of Chinook salmon, including variation in size at maturity and timing of spawning (
Healey 1991). All of this suggests that prey availability for killer whales may be highly variable in shorter time scales (e.g., days to weeks). Long-term continuous measurements are needed to quantify such intra-seasonal variability in prey availability.
Physical processes might explain why prey occurred more frequently along the northern sides of each of the killer whale habitats. Ebb currents are stronger and last longer on the northern sides of Juan de Fuca Strait and Johnston Strait compared to the southern sides (
Thomson 1981). This difference in tidal currents on each side of the channels could affect the fine-scale movements of migrating Chinook salmon that rely on olfaction as one of their primary sensory systems to find their natal streams (
Dittman and Quinn 1996;
Keefer and Caudill 2014). We hypothesize that salmon position themselves in stronger ebb tides to better detect natal stream odors. In contrast to physical processes, biological processes that affect prey distributions within habitats seem unlikely to explain the northern distributions of salmon we observed, given that mature salmon largely stop feeding before they enter river systems and use stored body energy to complete their freshwater migrations (
Cooke et al. 2011).
Characterizing target strength is critical for accurately assessing fish populations using acoustics (
Simmonds and MacLennan 2005). One of the limitations of this study is the lack of a dorsal-aspect target strength model for salmonids, which is important for downward-looking echosounder applications. Previous studies of the relationship between target strength and body lengths of adult salmon have been undertaken to monitor fish migration in rivers, but are limited to the side- and ventral-aspects of the fish (
Kubecka and Duncan 1998;
Lilja et al. 2000;
Knudsen et al. 2004). To our knowledge, the only published information on dorsal aspect target strengths of salmonids comes from ex-situ experiments at 50 kHz on relatively small kokanee salmon (
Oncorhynchus nerka) (
Fig. 2;
Mukai and Iida 1996). For Chinook salmon, the only acoustic data currently available on target strengths are limited to a single frequency and modeling estimates, as well as simulated broadband in situ measurements (
Burwen and Fleischman 1998;
Au et al. 2004,
2010). The frequencies used in these previous studies are not consistent and are outside of commonly used fisheries acoustic frequencies.
In our study, we relied on empirical regressions derived from multiple fish species (
Love 1977) to estimate the density and sizes of prey in the killer whale habitats. However, target strengths can vary significantly between species (
Foote 1979;
McClatchie et al. 1996), and we do not know the extent to which the regressions we used may have affected the accuracy of our estimates of prey density and size. To address this variability, we compared the target strength-length relationship based on
Love (1977) with those of other physoclist species, which lack a duct between the swimbladder and alimentary canal (
Fig. 2). We found that the regressions for walleye pollock (
Foote and Traynor 1988;
Traynor 1996), Atlantic cod (
Gadus morhua) (
Rose and Porter 1996), Pacific Hake (
Traynor 1996), redfish (
Sebastes marinus) (
Foote et al. 1986), and rockfish (
Sebastes schlegeli) (
Kang and Hwang 2003) provide similar results to Love’s equation. Their estimated TS values corresponding to the size of age-4 Chinook salmon are within 1.5 dB of Love’s estimate. However, reported target strength of redfish is 2.0 dB lower (
Gauthier and Rose 2002) and Pacific Hake is 7.3 dB lower (
Henderson and Horne 2007) than the target strength estimated by Love’s equation.
On average, the target strength of physoclists of age-4 Chinook size is 1.6 dB lower than the threshold value we used. Although natural variation is inherent in target strength of wild fish, it appears unlikely that values we attributed to age-4+ Chinook could be from other species which rarely reach such length (
Anderson et al. 2019). Nonetheless, establishing the acoustic characteristics specific to adult Chinook salmon are needed to better assess their at-sea distributions, and to take advantage of ongoing large-scale spatial fish survey opportunities that could be simultaneously used to assess the abundance and distribution of Chinook salmon in habitats used by southern resident killer whales (e.g., acoustic-trawl surveys off the west coast of the US and Canada by NOAA and DFO).
Species identification in acoustic measurements remains a key challenge. While acoustics have long been used for fish stock assessment and management of a number of commercially important species (
Simmonds and MacLennan 2005), integration of multiple, complementary sampling devices including trawls, optics, and imaging systems with acoustics is essential for accurately assessing the biomass of each species. Use of both midwater trawl and commercial troll gear covered the majority of fish species present in the pelagic zones of our study areas — and allowed us to identify Chinook salmon as the dominant species comprising the large single targets we detected.
The range of fish sizes in the midwater trawl catches suggests that most species present were too small to produce high target strengths comparable to those of age-4 Chinook salmon. Among the fish that have swimbladders and can get relatively large, Pacific hake and walleye pollock are typically found in aggregations that would have been excluded from our data using the school detection algorithm. Other fish, such as rockfish species, typically do not reach the size of age-4 Chinook salmon with a few exceptions (
Anderson et al. 2019). By removing data within 2 m of the detected bottom, we likely excluded species with strong association to bathymetric features and the benthic environment. The only large fish species with a swimbladder that our sampling gears potentially missed is Pacific cod (
Gadus macrocephalus). However Pacific cod are also highly demersal (
Anderson et al. 2019), and would have been likely removed (if present) from our analysis of excluding the near-bottom data. Based on the sizes of fish present, exclusion of fish associated with the bottom, and the dominance of Chinook salmon caught by trolling, we conclude that the large single targets were dominated by large Chinook salmon — the preferred prey of resident killer whales.
Our study focused on the prey available to southern and northern resident killer whales during summer when peak numbers of Chinook salmon and southern resident killer whales traditionally return to the Salish Sea. Our finding that densities of Chinook were 4–6 times higher in southern resident habitat than in northern resident habitat is at odds with the few sightings of southern resident killer whales in the Salish Sea in 2018 and 2019. Our data suggest that their low frequency of summer occurrence was not due to an absence of prey in the Salish Sea. Southern resident populations have been returning later than normal to the coastal waters of British Columbia and Washington in recent years, and appear temporally and spatially mismatched with migrating Chinook salmon during summer. Whether this reflects a greater abundance of Chinook outside of our study sites is unknown.
Southern resident killer whales range from the coastal waters of central California to southern British Columbia (
Ford 2006). As such, our study site occurs at the northern limit of their habitat which has traditionally been used most heavily during summer and fall (
Hanson et al. 2010;
Olson et al. 2018). Prey availability in other regions of their habitat remains unknown — as is knowledge about their winter and spring food sources. All of these considerations provide challenges to understanding and assessing prey availability for southern resident killer whales throughout the year.
In addition to abundance, energy content of Chinook varies among populations, and is an additional variable that affects the caloric demands of killer whales (
Ford et al. 2010b;
Hanson et al. 2010;
Noren 2011;
Williams et al. 2011). Mature Puget Sound Chinook salmon, for example, tend to be smaller and leaner than Fraser River and Columbia River Chinook salmon (
O’Neill et al. 2014). Thus, the population-dependent energy content of Chinook salmon coupled with the timing of returning southern resident populations likely plays an important role in determining energy gain for this endangered species. While there are no acoustic data from the past to examine the temporal changes in prey availability, historical data suggest that Chinook salmon in the Pacific coast have become smaller and younger (
Ohlberger et al. 2018). In the long term, declines in body size of Chinook salmon could reduce reproductive and survival rates of killer whales.
Our study addressed the abundance and distribution of prey available to resident killer whales, but did not address how accessible Chinook salmon are to them. The physical presence of vessels and the noise they create are two factors that could impede the ability of killer whales to successfully forage (
Trites and Rosen 2018). Background noise levels increase with nearby vessel counts (
Holt et al. 2009), and may mask communication between pod members and interfere with foraging and navigation (
Veirs et al. 2016). Furthermore, physical presence of vessels reduces foraging effort of resident killer whales (
Lusseau et al. 2009;
Holt et al. 2021). Such interference occurs more frequently in the southern than northern resident killer whale habitats, and could theoretically impact foraging abilities and survival rates.
Foraging behavior affects survival, growth, and reproduction — and is an important determinant of animal fitness (
Pyke 1984). Top predators, such as marine mammals, require significant amounts of prey (
Trites and Spitz 2018) and often migrate seasonally to follow their prey (
Bjørge 2001). Understanding prey distributions is therefore essential for better understanding predator–prey interactions and ultimately how ecosystem functions. However, fine-scale variability in biological aggregations, combined with the strong swimming ability and migratory behavior of large prey make it challenging to assess prey distributions for top predators within pelagic ecosystems.
Our results show that fisheries acoustic techniques are an effective means to assess the distribution and abundance of prey available to resident killer whales in coastal waters. Using this technique, we tested the hypothesis that southern resident killer whales were more limited by prey abundance than northern resident killer whales during summer. Contrary to expectations, we found the density of potential prey available to southern resident killer whales was relatively high during summer in the coastal waters of British Columbia and Washington, where salmon restoration and enhancement management efforts including the commercial and recreational fishing regulations have been focused. This suggests that other factors such as spatial and temporal mismatches between killer whales and prey presence, shortages of prey outside of the Salish Sea, reduced energy content of individual Chinook salmon, and reduced prey accessibility due to vessel traffic may be more consequential to southern resident killer whales than previously considered.