Introduction
Estuaries connect freshwater and ocean environments for Pacific salmon, providing important habitats during a crucial transition period for juveniles, yet considerable variation exists in the extent of estuary reliance across species and populations. All anadromous Pacific salmon migrate through estuaries twice during their lifespan and many will reside for days to months during their downstream migrations (
Healey 1982;
Moore et al. 2016). Subyearling migrants of Chinook (
Oncorhynchus tshawytscha), chum (
O. keta), and pink salmon (
O. gorbuscha) are thought to be more estuary reliant, while yearling migrants, typically lake-type sockeye (
O. nerka) and coho (
O.
kisutch), move through estuaries more quickly (
Groot and Margolis 1991). Chinook and chum salmon that migrate downstream in their first year of life are known to rear in estuaries from a few days up to a few months (
Volk et al. 2010;
Carr-Harris et al. 2015;
Chalifour et al. 2019). Estuary rearing is particularly common for juvenile Chinook salmon with “ocean-type” life histories that migrate at small sizes as subyearlings, relative to “stream-type” populations that spend a year in freshwater before migrating downstream as yearlings (
Chalifour et al. 2021).
Research in estuary systems across the Pacific Northwest has demonstrated the importance of estuary rearing for juvenile Chinook salmon. In the Fraser River, Chinook salmon can rely on tidal-marsh habitats in the estuary for extended periods of rearing and feeding before ocean entry (
Levy and Northcote 1982). In the Skeena River estuary, 25% of juvenile Chinook salmon spent at least 33 days in the estuary, with larger Chinook salmon residing for longer durations and growing at an estimated 0.5 mm·day
−1, providing evidence that estuary residency supports growth opportunities (
Moore et al. 2016). In the Columbia River estuary, many juvenile Chinook salmon remained in the marsh for 2–4 weeks and increased their fork length by 10–20 mm during this time, with an average growth rate of 0.53 mm·day
−1 (
McNatt et al. 2016). Similarly, as part of the current study,
Chalifour et al. (2021) reported Harrison River Chinook salmon in the Fraser River estuary had an average estuary residence period of 41.8 days with a mean growth rate of 0.57 mm·day
−1. For juvenile Chinook salmon with estuary-reliant life histories, growth rates during the estuary residence period are likely the most important factor determining size at ocean entry and early marine survival (
Woodson et al. 2013).
Although estuary rearing has been shown to be important for Chinook salmon, considerable variation exists in estuary use, entry timing, and size at entry, which could relate to subsequent marine survival. In the Columbia River,
Weitkamp et al. (2015) reported significant variation in ocean entry timing and size of different Chinook salmon populations that was associated with variation in early marine growth rates. Early arrival timing in the estuary is thought to confer a benefit in some populations, for example, Chinook salmon that entered the ocean from the Snake River earlier in the season were shown to have consistently better survival (
Scheuerell et al. 2009). Conversely,
Beamish et al. (2010) suggested that Chinook in the Fraser River were benefitting from a later ocean entry timing. Variation in survival may be related to match–mismatch dynamics of timing of local ocean productivity (
Wilson et al. 2021). For California’s Central Valley fall run Chinook population, survival of hatchery-produced Chinook salmon has been shown to directly relate to the timing of spring productivity (
Satterthwaite et al. 2014), and in British Columbia,
Wilson et al. (2021) found that juvenile steelhead marine survival was lower in years where they reached the marine environment prior to the increase in spring upwelling. Overall, understanding this variation in outmigration timing and estuary use can help to guide population-specific restoration and management actions, as well as identify changes in estuary productivity.
The Fraser River estuary in British Columbia (BC) is home to a diverse assemblage of salmon populations, including two distinct (South Thompson summer and Lower Fraser fall) groups of ocean-type Chinook salmon and three groups of stream-type Chinook salmon (
CTC 2021). Stream-type Chinook make up the majority of individual populations (16 of 18); however, most populations of Fraser Chinook salmon have experienced persistent declines in abundance and survival over the past several decades, leading to 17 of 18 assessed populations classified as Threatened or Endangered by the Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada (
COSEWIC 2018), with only the South Thompson ocean-type listed as Least Concern. This decline has negative economic, social, and ecological consequences, including impacts to the endangered Southern Resident Killer Whales whose spring to fall diet is heavily dependent on Chinook from the Lower, Middle, Upper, and Thompson River portions of the Fraser watershed (
Hanson et al. 2010;
Stewart et al. 2023).
Harrison River fall ocean-type Chinook salmon was historically the largest population in the Fraser River and one of the most abundant Chinook salmon populations worldwide (
Atlas et al. 2023). However, escapements since 2005 have generally been poor, declining by approximately 6% per year for the last 35 years and are currently considered Threatened (
Atlas et al. 2023). Conversely, the South Thompson ocean-type population is the sole Fraser River population assessed as not at risk of extinction, experiencing an increase in abundance of +243% in the past 5 years relative to the long-term average (
CTC 2021;
Atlas et al. 2023).
Beamish et al. (2010) reported that the South Thompson ocean-type population individuals were arriving in the marine environment much later than those from the Harrison River, yet little other information exists regarding differences in life histories that could help explain this variation in productivity. This highlights knowledge gaps regarding aspects of the South Thompson population life history, and whether it differs from the other populations of Chinook salmon in the Fraser River experiencing lower productivity.
Here we compare the outmigration timing, size, and habitat use of a broad array of populations of juvenile Chinook salmon in the Fraser River estuary. This study deepens our understanding of the ecology of juvenile Chinook salmon in estuary habitats, with the hypothesis that important variation exists even within designated life-history groups such as stream-type versus ocean-type Chinook salmon. Our goal was also to confirm and further investigate the rearing periods of ocean-type Chinook salmon in the Fraser River observed by
Levy and Northcote (1982), with the addition of genetic techniques to compare population-specific trends. We also further compare these trends with juvenile Chinook populations with stream-type life histories and hatchery-produced individuals. As ocean-type Chinook populations are thought to be more reliant on estuaries for critical growth periods before ocean entry, we focused our analysis primarily on the difference between the Harrison and South Thompson populations of juvenile ocean-type Chinook in the Fraser River that are experiencing considerable differences in survival despite their similar life history. This work will help us understand estuary use across all populations of Fraser River Chinook salmon and inform recovery planning for these populations. Understanding Chinook salmon use of this major delta system provides a significant contribution to our broader understanding of the early life-history strategies and, more broadly, helps inform managers of Chinook salmon populations in other systems.
Results
We sampled Fraser River estuary habitats across the spring and summer outmigration season over 5 years (2016–2020) and captured a total of 141 741 fish including 17 490 juvenile salmon. Juvenile chum were the most-abundant salmon species across the study (
n = 8965), captured in large numbers from late March to early May and completely absent by June (
Fig. 2). Juvenile Chinook (
n = 6496) were the second-most abundant, but the most consistently captured salmon in the estuary from late March through to mid-August (
Fig. 2). We captured juvenile pink salmon (
n = 1169) only in even-numbered years, and they were captured in high densities in April and May (
Fig. 2). We captured juvenile sockeye salmon (
n = 724,
Fig. 2) at yearling sizes in April and May, and subyearling sizes in June and July, and rarely captured juvenile coho salmon (
n = 185). Overall, while we captured individuals from five different salmon species, there was considerable variation in our capture rates and timing, with juvenile chum and Chinook salmon having the highest rates of capture during our study.
Our genetic sampling results demonstrated that ocean-type Chinook salmon from the Lower Fraser were captured at the highest rates, followed by ocean-type South Thompson Chinook salmon. We captured limited numbers from stream-type populations and hatcheries. We retained 3244 tissue samples from juvenile Chinook that were subsequently analyzed and successfully identified to their origin population. The number of genetic samples varied considerably each year, with the fewest samples collected in 2016 (
n = 285), 2017 (
n = 544), and 2019 (
n = 406), and larger numbers collected in 2018 (
n = 917) and 2020 (
n = 1092) (
Table A2). Juvenile Chinook salmon from the Lower Fraser River, representing the Harrison River and Chilliwack River populations, were captured at the high rate (
n = 2363) and present for the longest period each year (
Figs. 3 and
4). They were the first to arrive in late March or early April and captured until late June or early July. We typically captured ocean-type Chinook salmon from the South Thompson River (
n = 535) in the estuary beginning in late May or early June, and they became the most captured population captured from July through to mid-August (
Figs. 3 and
4). South Thompson Chinook salmon were generally captured in much lower densities relative to Lower Fraser Chinook salmon (
Figs. 3,
4, and
Table A2). Stream-type Chinook salmon were primarily captured during early May with a few individuals captured in late April and early June, and a few in late July of 2020 (
n = 216,
Figs. 3,
4, and
Table A2).
We found that juvenile Chinook salmon from the Lower Fraser were the smallest individuals when they were captured in the estuary (mean FL = 57.2 mm, sd = 15.9 mm, range = 34–128 mm), and had significantly smaller fork lengths on average than ocean-type Chinook salmon from the South Thompson that entered later and at larger sizes (mean FL = 67.4 mm, sd = 11.8 mm, range = 38–106 mm; TukeyHSD,
p < 0.0001) (
Fig. 5). Conversely, South Thompson Chinook salmon were consistently smaller than Lower Fraser Chinook salmon for a given Julian date when they overlapped (
Fig. 4c). Stream-type (yearling) juvenile Chinook salmon originating from Spring Run 4.2, Spring Run 5.2, and Summer Run 5.2 populations in the Thompson, Middle Fraser, and Upper Fraser rivers were captured at relatively low abundance (
n = 280) (
Figs. 3 and
4), but at significantly larger sizes than ocean-type individuals (
Figs. 4 and
5; TukeyHSD,
p < 0.0001). Spring 4.2 individuals were captured in the lowest abundance but were the largest (
n = 21; mean FL = 111.0 mm, sd = 12.6 mm, range = 84– 132 mm; Tukey HSD,
p < 0.001). The only groups which were not significantly different from each other were Summer 5.2 (
n = 87; mean FL = 95.2 mm, sd = 15.4 mm, range = 57–132 mm) and the Spring 5.2 Chinook salmon, which was most-abundant stream-type population across years (
n = 108; mean FL = 93.0 mm, sd = 13.9 mm, range = 42–134 mm) (
Fig. 5). There were five individuals from the Summer 5.2 group which were captured at subyearling fork lengths (<70 mm) in late July in 2020, which were the only individuals assigned to stream-type populations captured outside of the typically seen migration period and at smaller fork lengths over the course of the study.
We captured low numbers of hatchery origin individuals relative to wild individuals, with parentage-based tagging revealing only 107 hatchery-produced individuals in 2019 (
n = 42) and 2020 (
n = 65). Most hatchery Chinook salmon captured were sub-yearlings produced from the Lower Fraser (
n = 100), with a small number of yearlings produced in the Lower Fraser (
n = 6) and at other Fraser River hatcheries on the Nicola River (
n = 1) and Spius Creek (
n = 2). We also captured a few individuals from outside the Fraser River watershed, originating from the nearby Capilano River Hatchery (
n = 4), all of which were captured in sandflat and eelgrass habitats. Lower Fraser hatchery Chinook salmon were mostly from the Chilliwack hatchery (
n = 77), with a smaller number captured from the Chehalis hatchery (
n = 23). The earliest captured hatchery Chinook was on 26 April 2020 and came from Spius Creek and the Chehalis River; however, the majority captured in marsh habitats occurred during May sampling periods. Chinook produced at the Chilliwack River hatchery arrived in the estuary soon after their release date on 15 May, arriving in the marsh on 23 May in 2019 and 20 May in 2020. Hatchery-produced Chinook salmon (mean FL = 85.1 mm, sd = 11.2 mm, range = 55–119 mm) were also significantly larger than wild ocean-type Chinook but significantly smaller than wild stream-type populations (
Fig. 5; A3; TukeyHSD,
p < 0.003). Hatchery Chinook were captured in larger numbers in marsh habitats (
n = 73) relative to sandflat (
n = 17) and eelgrass habitats (
n = 16); however, they were captured over a shorter period in the marsh habitats primarily in May, while they were captured in outer estuary habitats from late May through mid-July (
Fig. 4).
Juvenile Chinook were predominantly captured in marsh habitats (
n = 5771) with relatively few captured in eelgrass habitats (
n = 327) or sand flats (
n = 269), a trend consistent across both ocean-type populations (
Fig. 4,
Chalifour et al. 2021). Although our effort was not equal, with 521 sampling occasions in marsh habitats, compared to 168 sampling occasions in eelgrass and 173 in sand flat habitats, we believe this still demonstrates a large difference in capture rates between habitat types. Despite the reduced effort, the total number of fish captured was highest in eelgrass (
n = 66 385), followed by marsh (
n = 62 489), with much lower capture rates in sand flat areas (
n = 12 867). We also found that juvenile ocean-type Chinook salmon had significantly shorter fork lengths in marsh habitats (
Figs. 4 and
6; Tukey HSD,
p < 0.001) relative to sandflat and eelgrass habitats. The exception to this were South Thompson Chinook captured in eelgrass habitat, which did not significantly differ from those captured in marsh habitats; however, the lack of statistical significance was likely due to our very low sample size. We found that juvenile ocean-type Chinook from the Lower Fraser and South Thompson did not significantly differ in fork lengths in sandflat and eelgrass habitats, although Lower Fraser Chinook were generally smaller particularly in sand flat habitats (
Fig. 6).
Acknowledgements
We gratefully acknowledge support from the following agencies: Fisheries and Oceans Canada’s Coastal Restoration Fund, the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, the Marine Environmental Observation, Prediction and Response Network (MEOPAR), the Pacific Salmon Foundation, and the Raincoast Conservation Foundation. We thank Allison Dennert, Jonathan Moore, John Richardson, and Brian Hunt for their helpful reviews of this manuscript and Riley Finn for producing our site map. We thank our boat captains Steve Stark from the Tsawwassen First Nation and Lindsey Wilson for their guidance in site selection, fishing techniques, and a 5-year safety record of purse seining. We thank field assistants Paige Roper, Emily Seimens, Samantha Scott, Jack Hall, Dylan Cunningham, Eric Perlett, Kyle Armstrong, Samantha Rhodes, and many volunteers for their assistance in field data collection. We acknowledge and thank the Stó:lō and Coast Salish Peoples in whose territories this research was conducted. This is Publication No. 85 from the Salish Sea Marine Survival Project (marinesurvivalproject.com).